As the world strives for a low‑carbon future, the search is on for fuels that are both emissions‑free and cost‑competitive with fossil fuels. One way to estimate how low alternative fuels must be priced to go head‑to‑head with fossil fuels is to run the Joint Program’s Economic Projection and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, which estimates the evolving costs of coal, oil and natural gas. By default, EPPA projects a long‑term rise in the price of oil as producers gradually exhaust low‑cost extraction opportunities and increasingly turn to higher‑cost resources.