Earth Systems

Amid rollbacks of the Clean Power Plan and other environmental regulations at the federal level, several U.S. states, cities and towns have resolved to take matters into their own hands and implement policies to promote renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.  One popular approach, now in effect in 29 states and the District of Columbia, is to set Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS), which require electricity suppliers to source a designated percentage of electricity from available renewable power generating technologies.

The stratospheric ozone layer, which protects us from the sun’s ultraviolet radiation, has recovered considerably from past depletion since the implementation of the Montreal Protocol in 1987 and subsequent amendments, which phased out the production and consumption of major ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). But unexpected observed and potential emissions of long- and short-lived ODSs could delay the return of stratospheric ozone levels to 1980 levels by years to decades.

The stratospheric ozone layer, which protects us from the sun’s ultraviolet radiation, has recovered considerably from past depletion since the implementation of the 1987 Montreal Protocol in 1987 and subsequent amendments, which phased out the production and consumption of major ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). But unexpected observed and potential emissions of long- and short-lived ODSs could delay the return of stratospheric ozone levels to 1980 levels by years to decades.

Recognizing the threat that unconstrained ODSs pose to the continued restoration of the ozone layer, this study provides an overview of these substances and the steps needed to control them in alignment with the Montreal Protocol. 

Changes in large-scale dynamics over West Africa—the strength and position of zonal jets—are a key interim step by which local and remote forcing is communicated into changes in rainfall. This study identifies a key mode of jet variability and demonstrates how it is strongly coupled with rainfall. The approach provides a quantitative framework to assess jet–rainfall coupling and a useful tool to investigate the concerning spread in CMIP5 rainfall projections over the West African Sahel. It is shown that many CMIP5 simulations fail to capture this coupling, indicating a fundamental limitation in their ability to predict future rainfall conditions. The results demonstrate that West African rainfall in the coming CMIP6 ensemble should be interpreted with caution; key atmospheric processes that deliver rainfall must be validated before conducting detailed analysis on rainfall.

 

Abstract: Nitrogen (N) availability exerts strong control on carbon storage in the forests of Northern Eurasia. Here, using a process-based model, we explore how three factors that alter N availability—permafrost degradation, atmospheric N deposition, and the abandonment of agricultural land to forest regrowth (land-use legacy)—affect carbon storage in the region’s forest vegetation over the 21st century within the context of two IPCC global-change scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). For RCP4.5, enhanced N availability results in increased tree carbon storage of 27.8 Pg C, with land-use legacy being the most important factor. For RCP8.5, enhanced N availability results in increased carbon storage in trees of 13.4 Pg C, with permafrost degradation being the most important factor. Our analysis reveals complex spatial and temporal patterns of regional carbon storage. This study underscores the importance of considering carbon-nitrogen interactions when assessing regional and sub-regional impacts of global change policies.

Summary: Amid rollbacks of the Clean Power Plan and other environmental regulations at the federal level several U.S. states, cities and towns have resolved to take matters into their own hands and implement policies to promote renewable energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.  One popular approach, now in effect in 29 states and the District of Columbia, is to set Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS), which require electricity suppliers to source a designated percentage of electricity from available renewable power generating technologies.

Boosting levels of renewable electric power not only helps mitigate global climate change but also reduces local air pollution. Quantifying the extent to which this approach improves air quality could help legislators better assess the pros and cons of implementing policies such as RPS. Toward that end, a research team at MIT has developed a new modeling framework that combines economic and air-pollution models to assess the projected sub-national impacts of RPS and carbon pricing on air quality and human health, as well as on the economy and on climate change. In a study focused on the U.S. Rust Belt, their assessment showed that the financial benefits associated with air quality improvements from these policies would more than pay for the cost of implementing them.

Applying their modeling framework, the MIT researchers estimated that existing RPS in the nation’s Rust Belt region generate a health co-benefit of $94 per ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) reduced in 2030, or 8 cents for each kilowatt hour (kWh) of renewable energy deployed in 2015 dollars. Their central estimate is 34 percent larger than total policy costs. The team also determined that carbon pricing delivers a health co-benefit of $211 per ton of CO2 reduced in 2030, 63% greater than the health co-benefit of reducing the same amount of CO2 through an RPS approach.

Pages

Subscribe to Earth Systems