Earth Systems

Abstract: The hydroxyl radical (OH) largely determines the atmosphere’s oxidative capacity and, thus, the lifetimes of numerous trace gases, including methane (CH4). Hitherto, observation-based approaches for estimating the atmospheric oxidative capacity have primarily relied on using methyl chloroform (MCF), but as the atmospheric abundance of MCF has declined, the uncertainties associated with this method have increased. In this study, we examine the use of five hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) (HFC-134a, HFC-152a, HFC-365mfc, HFC-245fa and HFC-32) in multi-species inversions, which assimilate three HFCs simultaneously, as an alternative method to estimate atmospheric OH.

We find robust estimates of OH regardless of which combination of three HFCs are used in the inversions. Our results show that OH has remained fairly stable during our study period from 2004 to 2021, with variations of <2 % and no significant trend. Inversions including HFC-32 and HFC-152a (the shortest-lived species) indicate a small reduction in OH in 2020 (1.6 % ± 0.9 % relative to the mean over 2004–2021 and 0.6 ± 0.9 % lower than in 2019), but considering all inversions, the reduction was only 0.5 ± 1.1 % and OH was at a similar level to that in 2019.

Abstract

We apply a systems framework for analyzing the overall sustainability impacts of interventions to a case of the rice-wheat cropping system of Punjab (India), where agricultural practices lead to air pollution-related health impacts, over-exploitation of groundwater, over-use of fertilizers and reduced local crop diversity. We use this case to quantify how varying degrees of change in interventions result in sustainability impacts using an inclusive wealth-based approach.

We show that either improving the existing cropping system or inducing fundamental changes in the cropping system, can lead to substantial and wide-ranging sustainability benefits. We also show that interventions that improve human health show the largest quantitative benefit due to the assumed high marginal value of human life. Accurate localized estimates of marginal values of stocks are needed for estimating overall sustainability impacts.  

Key Points

  1. We apply a systems framework for analyzing policy interventions to the rice-wheat cropping system of Punjab (India). 
  2. We quantify the sustainability impacts of interventions involving varying degrees of change in the system using an inclusive weath-based approach.
  3. We show how policy-induced changes can lead to substantial and wide-ranging sustainability benefits.

Plain Language Summary

We use a systems-based approach for studying air pollution as a challenge embedded in a broader network of sustainability issues, and analyze the cross-sectoral impacts of policy interventions. We use the rice-wheat cropping system in Punjab, India, as a case study, since agricultural practices in this system are associated with a number of inter-linked sustainability challenges such as air pollution-related health impacts, over-exploitation of groundwater, over-use of fertilizers and reduced local crop diversity. We analyze the sustainability impacts of varying degrees of policy-induced change in this system and show that both incremental and fundamental changes can lead to wide-ranging sustainability benefits.

Abstract: Phytoplankton exhibit diverse physiological responses to temperature which influence their fitness in the environment and consequently alter their community structure. Here, we explored the sensitivity of phytoplankton community structure to thermal response parameterization in a modelled marine phytoplankton community. Using published empirical data, we evaluated the maximum thermal growth rates (µmax) and temperature coefficients (Q10; the rate at which growth scales with temperature) of six key Phytoplankton Functional Types (PFTs): coccolithophores, cyanobacteria, diatoms, diazotrophs, dinoflagellates, and green algae. Following three well-documented methods, PFTs were either assumed to have (1) the same µmax and the same Q10 (as in to Eppley, 1972) (2) a unique µmax but the same Q10 (similar to Kremer et al. 2017) or (3) a unique µmax and a unique Q10 (following Anderson et al. 2021). These trait values were then implemented within the MIT biogeochemistry and ecosystem model (called Darwin) for each PFT under a control and climate change scenario.

Our results suggest that applying a µmax and Q10 universally across PFTs (as in Eppley, 1972) leads to unrealistic phytoplankton communities, which lack diatoms globally. Additionally, we find that accounting for differences in the Q10 between PFTs can significantly impact each PFT’s competitive ability, especially at high latitudes, leading to altered modeled phytoplankton community structures in our control and climate change simulations. This then impacts estimates of biogeochemical processes, with, for example, estimates of export production varying by ~10% in the Southern Ocean depending on the parameterization.

Our results indicate that the diversity of thermal response traits in phytoplankton not only shape community composition in the contemporary and future, warmer ocean, but that these traits have significant feedbacks on global biogeochemical cycles.
 

Duration

Two years

Motivation

• Under a global, low-carbon economy driven by hydrogen-based energy technologies, leakages at unprecedented scales are inevitable.

• Atmospheric H2 is largely controlled naturally by global soil sinks. The secondary H2 sink is reaction with atmospheric hydroxyl radical (OH).

• Soil micro-biotic & geophysical processes have nonlinear effects on H2 uptake controlled by temperature and moisture. These controls can weaken future soil H2 consumption under climate change.

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