Earth Systems

Spanning Eastern Europe, Scandinavia, the former Soviet Union and Northern China, Northern Eurasia is a bellwether for the future of climate change. Having undergone the fastest rate of climate change in the human-populated world in the past few decades, the region has endured dramatic natural disturbances and significantly altered its land-management practices. And that may be just the beginning.

A new study by MIT climate scientists, economists, and agriculture experts finds that certain hotspots in the country will experience severe reductions in crop yields by 2050, due to climate change’s impact on irrigation.

The most adversely affected region, according to the researchers, will be the Southwest. Already a water-stressed part of the country, this region is projected to experience reduced precipitation by midcentury. Less rainfall to the area will mean reduced runoff into water basins that feed irrigated fields.

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