Northern Eurasia is made up of a complex and diverse set of physical, ecological, climatic and human systems, which provide important ecosystem services including the storage of substantial stocks of carbon in its terrestrial ecosystems. At the same time, the region has experienced dramatic climate change, natural disturbances and changes in land management practices over the past century. For these reasons, Northern Eurasia is both a critical region to understand and a complex system with substantial challenges for the modeling community. This review is designed to highlight the state of past and ongoing efforts of the research community to understand and model these environmental, socioeconomic, and climatic changes. We further aim to provide perspectives on the future direction of global change modeling to improve our understanding of the role of Northern Eurasia in the coupled human-Earth system. Modeling efforts have shown that environmental and socioeconomic changes in Northern Eurasia can have major impacts on biodiversity, ecosystems services, environmental sustainability, and the carbon cycle of the region, and beyond. These impacts have the potential to feedback onto and alter the global Earth system. We find that past and ongoing studies have largely focused on specific components of Earth system dynamics and have not systematically examined their feedbacks to the global Earth system and to society. We identify the crucial role of Earth system models in advancing our understanding of feedbacks within the region and with the global system. We further argue for the need for integrated assessment models (IAMs), a suite of models that couple human activity models to Earth system models, which are key to address many emerging issues that require a representation of the coupled human-Earth system.

Molecular hydrogen (H₂) is an atmospheric trace gas with a large microbe-mediated soil sink, yet cycling of this compound throughout ecosystems is poorly understood. Measurements of the sources and sinks of H₂ in various ecosystems are sparse, resulting in large uncertainties in the global H₂ budget. Constraining the H₂ cycle is critical to understanding its role in atmospheric chemistry and climate. We measured H₂ fluxes at high frequency in a temperate mixed deciduous forest for 15 months using a tower-based flux-gradient approach to determine both the soil-atmosphere and the net ecosystem flux of H₂. We found that Harvard Forest is a net H₂ sink (−1.4 ± 1.1 kg H₂ ha⁻¹) with soils as the dominant H₂ sink (−2.0 ± 1.0 kg H₂ ha⁻¹) and aboveground canopy emissions as the dominant H₂ source (+0.6 ± 0.8 kg H₂ ha⁻¹). Aboveground emissions of H₂ were an unexpected and substantial component of the ecosystem H₂ flux, reducing net ecosystem uptake by 30% of that calculated from soil uptake alone. Soil uptake was highly seasonal (July maximum, February minimum), positively correlated with soil temperature and negatively correlated with environmental variables relevant to diffusion into soils (i.e., soil moisture, snow depth, snow density). Soil microbial H₂ uptake was correlated with rhizosphere respiration rates (r = 0.8, P < 0.001), and H₂ metabolism yielded up to 2% of the energy gleaned by microbes from carbon substrate respiration. Here, we elucidate key processes controlling the biosphere–atmosphere exchange of H₂ and raise new questions regarding the role of aboveground biomass as a source of atmospheric H₂ and mechanisms linking soil H₂ and carbon cycling. Results from this study should be incorporated into modeling efforts to predict the response of the H₂ soil sink to changes in anthropogenic H₂ emissions and shifting soil conditions with climate and land-use change.