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Focus Areas

Our independent analyses of the complex interactions among co-evolving systems aid decision-makers in confronting multiple, interwoven challenges.

Earth Systems
Changes and risks to interconnected land, ocean, atmosphere and biosphere systems
Managed Resources
Changes and risks to managed agriculture, water, land and energy systems
Infrastructure & Investment
Physical and transition risk; adaptation and resilience to climate change and extreme events
Energy Transition
National and global projections of the future energy mix; prospects for different sectors and technologies
Policy Scenarios
Environmental and economic change under different climate, air pollution, and economic policies
Regional Analysis
Science and policy studies at subnational, national and multinational levels
Multi-Sector Dynamics
Potential tipping points and transition states of Earth and human systems

Research Tools

Our state-of-the-art models and analytical methods project global and regional changes and potential risks under different policy scenarios.​

Global Framework

Simulates the interplay between Earth and human systems

Earth System Component

Simulates physical, dynamical and chemical processes in the atmosphere, land, ocean and cryosphere

Human System Component

Simulates the evolution of economic, demographic, trade and technological processes

Risk Analysis

Analytical methods to quantify uncertainty at global and regional scales

Global Change Outlook

Our Greenhouse Gamble Wheels

Upcoming Event

March 28, 2024 - March 29, 2024
Global Change Forum XLVI: The heat is on: Accelerating climate action at a time of record-breaking temperatures
This event is invitation-only. Sessions: 
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Joint Program News

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News Release
Accelerated climate action needed to sharply reduce current risks to life and life-support systems
2023 Global Change Outlook quantifies benefits of policies that cap global warming at 1.5°C
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Commentary
Tipping into the danger zone—we need to learn more about climate tipping points

A call for a concerted scientific effort to understand the risks posed by exceeding them (The Hill)

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In The News
Climate: Is 1.5 degrees Celsius still achievable?

Held up as the temperature limit that should not be crossed, 1.5 degrees Celsius is more than just a number. So what's behind it, and what happens if it is exceeded? (DW)

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News Release
Amundi and the MIT Joint Program announce joint research paper

Paper connects long-term climate scenarios with corresponding financial impacts at the company level (Amundi)

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